2070 Financial Aftermath - Odds and Ends
Mar 5, 2024 10:12:38 GMT -5
Texas Rangers, Commish_Ron, and 2 more like this
Post by sansterre - Milwaukee Brewers on Mar 5, 2024 10:12:38 GMT -5
* The average playoff revenue for a team that made the playoffs was $13M.
* However, of those playoff teams, their budgets were only increased by an average of $500k.
* Big winners among playoff teams (budget-wise) include the Yankees (+$20M), St. Louis (+$12M) and Colorado (+$8M)
* Losers among the playoff teams (budget-wise) include Cincinnati (-$18M) and Washington (-$10M).
* Apparently winning a championship isn't all it's cracked up to be. What a charming owner.
* The average budget change for non-playoff teams was -$3.3M.
* Big winners among the non-playoff teams include Montreal (+$9M), Cleveland (+$4M) and the Angels (+$4M)
* Big losers among non-playoff teams include Boston (-$18M), Tampa Bay (-$12M), the Mets (-$12M), Oakland (-$10M), Milwaukee (-$10M)
* Big losers among non-playoff teams include Boston (-$18M), Tampa Bay (-$12M), the Mets (-$12M), Oakland (-$10M), Milwaukee (-$10M)
* The lowest budget to make the playoffs in 2070 was St. Louis, at $160M, the 19th highest in the league.
* The highest budget to miss the playoffs in 2070 was San Francisco, at $216M, the 5th highest in the league.
* No team with budgets ranked 20th or lower made the playoffs.
* In terms of payroll, the lowest payroll to make the playoffs in 2070 was Arizona, 18th in the league.
* In terms of payroll, the highest payroll to miss the playoffs in 2070 was San Francisco, 2nd in the league.
* 7 of the top 8 payrolls made the playoffs, and 10 of the top 12 (Kansas City being the other of that group).
* Of the most leveraged teams (least gap between payroll and budget), 5 of the top 10 made the playoffs, with an average increase of $2.4M in budget going into 2071.
* Of the least leveraged teams, 3 of the top 10 made the playoffs, with an average budget drop of $5.8M.
* Does this argue that leveraging increases budget? Perhaps.
* But of the ten most leveraged teams, they had an average wins of 86, with a median wins of 88. Compare that with the ten least leveraged teams, who averaged 76 wins with a median of 70 wins.
* But of the ten most leveraged teams, they had an average wins of 86, with a median wins of 88. Compare that with the ten least leveraged teams, who averaged 76 wins with a median of 70 wins.
* Nevertheless, three teams were in the bottom 10 of leverage, and won more than 100 games, and each of those teams had their budget cut by $10M or more.
In terms of predicting budget changes, here are the predictors in order of effectiveness:
Leverage - The less gap there was between payroll and budget, the more budget increased (explained 19%)
Wins - The more wins, the more budget increased (explained 9%)
Payroll - The higher payroll was, the more budget increased (explained 5%)
Making the playoffs - A team making the playoff benefited their budget (explained 5%)
Budget - A team having a *lower* budget benefited their budget (explained 1%)
Playoff Money - The more playoff money a team made benefited their budget (explained 0.1%)
Anyhow. Interesting data.