Post by sansterre - Milwaukee Brewers on Dec 15, 2020 16:35:26 GMT -5
These odds are generated with the following:
1) Records to date
2) Team qualities estimated at a combination of the preseason forecast and Team WAR to date
3) The rest of the season Monte Carlo'd 5000 times
AL Update for 4/30/57:
AL East:
New York Yankees: 89.5% (+2.0%) / 32.7% / 12.8% / 90.3 Est. Wins
Boston Red Sox: 18.7% (-2.8%) / 1.6% / 1.6% / 79.9 Est. Wins
Baltimore Orioles: - / - / - / 66.2 Est. Wins
Toronto Blue Jays: - / - / - / 59.5 Est. Wins
AL Central:
Chicago White Sox: 51.7% (+4.0%) / 11.5% / 6.8% / 86.5 Est. Wins
Cleveland Indians: 44.9% (+8.6%) / 9.0% / 4,5% / 85.5 Est. Wins
Minnesota Twins: 33.7% (-8.0%) / 5.5% / 3.8% / 84.2 Est. Wins
Detroit Tigers: 22.1% (+14.5%) / 2.9% / 1.5% / 82.1 Est. Wins
AL West:
Colorado Rockies: 98.3% (+5.7%) / 63.5% / 23.1% / 94.2 Est. Wins
Oakland Athletics: 4.5% (-4.4%) / 0.1% / 0.2% / 77.1 Est. Wins
Los Angeles Angels: 4.6% (+2.6%) / 0.1% / 0.2% / 75.9 Est. Wins
Seattle Mariners: 0.7% (-1.1%) / - / - / 70.4 Est. Wins
AL South:
Texas Rangers: 86.5% (-7.0%) / 40.1% / 22.4% / 93.0 Est. Wins
Houston Astros: 75.0% (+21.9%) / 21.7% / 13.2% / 90.5 Est. Wins
Tampa Bay Rays: 56.7% (+1.4%) / 10.8% / 9.4% / 87.7 Est. Wins
Kansas City Royals: 13.4% (-36.2%) / 0.7% / 1.2% / 80.5 Est. Wins
AL East (Playoff, Bye, Pennant)
New York Yankees: 89.4% / 37.6% / 13.6%
Boston Red Sox: 22.1% / 3.3% / 2.1%
Baltimore Orioles: 0.1% / - / -
Toronto Blue Jays: - / - / -
AL Central:
Chicago White Sox: 48.4% / 10.3% / 5.9%
Minnesota Twins: 38.9% / 9.2% / 4.9%
Cleveland Indians: 37.5% / 7.4% / 3.7%
Detroit Tigers: 7.6% / 1.1% / 0.5%
AL West:
Colorado Rockies: 95.4% / 46.0% / 17.8%
Oakland Athletics: 7.3% / 0.6% / 0.4%
Los Angeles Angels: 1.7% / - / 0.1%
Seattle Mariners: 1.1% / - / -
AL South:
Texas Rangers: 92.8% / 59.1% / 27.1%
Tampa Bay Rays: 55.5% / 9.0% / 9.7%
Houston Astros: 53.7% / 10.1% / 8.1%
Kansas City Royals: 48.4% / 7.3% / 5.8%
NL East:
New York Mets: 66.1% / 4.6% / 3.2%
Philadelphia Phillies: 37.5% / 1.2% / 1.2%
Pittsburgh Pirates: - / - / -
Montreal Expos: - / - / -
NL Central:
Milwaukee Brewers: 100% / 100% / 58.8%
Chicago Cubs: 44.3% / - / 2.8%
St. Louis Cardinals: 0.1% / - / -
Cincinnati Reds: - / - / -
NL West:
San Francisco Giants: 85.8% / 30.7% / 9.6%
San Diego Padres: 76.4% / 23.3% / 10.2%
Arizona Diamondbacks: 16.8% / 1.1% / 0.9%
Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.3% / - / -
NL South:
Atlanta Braves: 77.7% / 21.6% / 7.3%
Washington Nationals: 60.0% / 11.2% / 5.6%
Miami Marlins: 30.6% / 2.7% / 1.5%
Carolina Warhounds: 3.5% / 0.2% / 0.1%
1) Records to date
2) Team qualities estimated at a combination of the preseason forecast and Team WAR to date
3) The rest of the season Monte Carlo'd 5000 times
AL Update for 4/30/57:
AL East:
New York Yankees: 89.5% (+2.0%) / 32.7% / 12.8% / 90.3 Est. Wins
Boston Red Sox: 18.7% (-2.8%) / 1.6% / 1.6% / 79.9 Est. Wins
Baltimore Orioles: - / - / - / 66.2 Est. Wins
Toronto Blue Jays: - / - / - / 59.5 Est. Wins
AL Central:
Chicago White Sox: 51.7% (+4.0%) / 11.5% / 6.8% / 86.5 Est. Wins
Cleveland Indians: 44.9% (+8.6%) / 9.0% / 4,5% / 85.5 Est. Wins
Minnesota Twins: 33.7% (-8.0%) / 5.5% / 3.8% / 84.2 Est. Wins
Detroit Tigers: 22.1% (+14.5%) / 2.9% / 1.5% / 82.1 Est. Wins
AL West:
Colorado Rockies: 98.3% (+5.7%) / 63.5% / 23.1% / 94.2 Est. Wins
Oakland Athletics: 4.5% (-4.4%) / 0.1% / 0.2% / 77.1 Est. Wins
Los Angeles Angels: 4.6% (+2.6%) / 0.1% / 0.2% / 75.9 Est. Wins
Seattle Mariners: 0.7% (-1.1%) / - / - / 70.4 Est. Wins
AL South:
Texas Rangers: 86.5% (-7.0%) / 40.1% / 22.4% / 93.0 Est. Wins
Houston Astros: 75.0% (+21.9%) / 21.7% / 13.2% / 90.5 Est. Wins
Tampa Bay Rays: 56.7% (+1.4%) / 10.8% / 9.4% / 87.7 Est. Wins
Kansas City Royals: 13.4% (-36.2%) / 0.7% / 1.2% / 80.5 Est. Wins
AL East (Playoff, Bye, Pennant)
New York Yankees: 89.4% / 37.6% / 13.6%
Boston Red Sox: 22.1% / 3.3% / 2.1%
Baltimore Orioles: 0.1% / - / -
Toronto Blue Jays: - / - / -
AL Central:
Chicago White Sox: 48.4% / 10.3% / 5.9%
Minnesota Twins: 38.9% / 9.2% / 4.9%
Cleveland Indians: 37.5% / 7.4% / 3.7%
Detroit Tigers: 7.6% / 1.1% / 0.5%
AL West:
Colorado Rockies: 95.4% / 46.0% / 17.8%
Oakland Athletics: 7.3% / 0.6% / 0.4%
Los Angeles Angels: 1.7% / - / 0.1%
Seattle Mariners: 1.1% / - / -
AL South:
Texas Rangers: 92.8% / 59.1% / 27.1%
Tampa Bay Rays: 55.5% / 9.0% / 9.7%
Houston Astros: 53.7% / 10.1% / 8.1%
Kansas City Royals: 48.4% / 7.3% / 5.8%
NL East:
New York Mets: 66.1% / 4.6% / 3.2%
Philadelphia Phillies: 37.5% / 1.2% / 1.2%
Pittsburgh Pirates: - / - / -
Montreal Expos: - / - / -
NL Central:
Milwaukee Brewers: 100% / 100% / 58.8%
Chicago Cubs: 44.3% / - / 2.8%
St. Louis Cardinals: 0.1% / - / -
Cincinnati Reds: - / - / -
NL West:
San Francisco Giants: 85.8% / 30.7% / 9.6%
San Diego Padres: 76.4% / 23.3% / 10.2%
Arizona Diamondbacks: 16.8% / 1.1% / 0.9%
Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.3% / - / -
NL South:
Atlanta Braves: 77.7% / 21.6% / 7.3%
Washington Nationals: 60.0% / 11.2% / 5.6%
Miami Marlins: 30.6% / 2.7% / 1.5%
Carolina Warhounds: 3.5% / 0.2% / 0.1%