Post by sansterre - Milwaukee Brewers on Dec 28, 2019 10:20:13 GMT -5
Standard Disclaimers:
1) This is purely produced by my sheet. I just plugged the teams in and it spit out numbers. I had very little subjectively to do with it, save by designing the sheet itself. So if your team is low or high, it isn't because I hate or love you.
2) This is purely ratings. It doesn't care about stats or personality.
3) Within reason, position-assignment of batters is done by the sheet as far as what it thinks is most efficient.
4) This does model injuries (within reason) but it obviously cannot anticipate season-enders.
5) This assumes no changes to rosters as of today.
6) It doesn't take into account manager style, skill or attention to detail. All managers are treated the same. There's no anticipating who will make a move at the trade deadline, or who will stick their head in the sand and tank the year away. Some managers always seem to overperform this sheet. Others seem to underperform it. We'll see what happens this year.
7) It's just a spreadsheet. It's guaranteed wrong in spots.
8) This is counting the entire franchise roster, so minor league players may be counted if my sheet thinks that they're an upgrade.
AL East (-1.7 on average):
New York Yankees: 96.5 wins
Baltimore Orioles: 75.8 wins
Toronto Blue Jays: 74.6 wins
Boston Red Sox: 70.5 wins
AL Central (-0.5 on average):
Chicago White Sox: 89.8 wins
Cleveland Indians: 89.4 wins
Minnesota Twins: 74.5 wins
Detroit Tigers: 68.4 wins
AL West (-4.9 on average):
Colorado Rockies: 85.9 wins
Seattle Mariners: 79.0 wins
Los Angeles Angels: 71.0 wins
Oakland Athletics: 68.4 wins
AL South (+8.0 on average):
Kansas City Royals: 96.9 wins
Texas Rangers: 94.9 wins
Houston Astros: 85.9 wins
Tampa Bay Rays: 78.4 wins
What? Kansas City ranked higher than the Yankees? I'm serious; look at the Royals' roster. Kachmar, Contreras and now Garcia and Robles, with Vazquez and Zhui up front? Sheesh. That said, if Jorge Taylor hadn't dropped to wrecked the Yankees would be #1.
Let the record show that this isn't taking into account the new schedule that is going to lead to more divisional games (I think), which will certainly be to the Yankees' advantage, and the disadvantage of everyone anywhere near the AL South . . .
Also, shout out to the Angels who are forecast at 70+ wins and a 3rd place finish! Not being sarcastic, that roster has come a long way.
Playoff Picture:
Byes: New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
Division Winners: Chicago/Cleveland, Colorado
Wild Cards: Cleveland/Chicago, Texas
Bubble Teams: Houston
1) This is purely produced by my sheet. I just plugged the teams in and it spit out numbers. I had very little subjectively to do with it, save by designing the sheet itself. So if your team is low or high, it isn't because I hate or love you.
2) This is purely ratings. It doesn't care about stats or personality.
3) Within reason, position-assignment of batters is done by the sheet as far as what it thinks is most efficient.
4) This does model injuries (within reason) but it obviously cannot anticipate season-enders.
5) This assumes no changes to rosters as of today.
6) It doesn't take into account manager style, skill or attention to detail. All managers are treated the same. There's no anticipating who will make a move at the trade deadline, or who will stick their head in the sand and tank the year away. Some managers always seem to overperform this sheet. Others seem to underperform it. We'll see what happens this year.
7) It's just a spreadsheet. It's guaranteed wrong in spots.
8) This is counting the entire franchise roster, so minor league players may be counted if my sheet thinks that they're an upgrade.
AL East (-1.7 on average):
New York Yankees: 96.5 wins
Baltimore Orioles: 75.8 wins
Toronto Blue Jays: 74.6 wins
Boston Red Sox: 70.5 wins
AL Central (-0.5 on average):
Chicago White Sox: 89.8 wins
Cleveland Indians: 89.4 wins
Minnesota Twins: 74.5 wins
Detroit Tigers: 68.4 wins
AL West (-4.9 on average):
Colorado Rockies: 85.9 wins
Seattle Mariners: 79.0 wins
Los Angeles Angels: 71.0 wins
Oakland Athletics: 68.4 wins
AL South (+8.0 on average):
Kansas City Royals: 96.9 wins
Texas Rangers: 94.9 wins
Houston Astros: 85.9 wins
Tampa Bay Rays: 78.4 wins
What? Kansas City ranked higher than the Yankees? I'm serious; look at the Royals' roster. Kachmar, Contreras and now Garcia and Robles, with Vazquez and Zhui up front? Sheesh. That said, if Jorge Taylor hadn't dropped to wrecked the Yankees would be #1.
Let the record show that this isn't taking into account the new schedule that is going to lead to more divisional games (I think), which will certainly be to the Yankees' advantage, and the disadvantage of everyone anywhere near the AL South . . .
Also, shout out to the Angels who are forecast at 70+ wins and a 3rd place finish! Not being sarcastic, that roster has come a long way.
Playoff Picture:
Byes: New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
Division Winners: Chicago/Cleveland, Colorado
Wild Cards: Cleveland/Chicago, Texas
Bubble Teams: Houston