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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:52:37 GMT -5
The Lottery has been completed and as usual the first 14 picks in the up-coming draft goes into our simulator ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned the following number of chances:
250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick 199 combinations, 19.9% chance 156 combinations, 15.6% chance 119 combinations, 11.9% chance 88 combinations, 8.8% chance 63 combinations, 6.3% chance 43 combinations, 4.3% chance 28 combinations, 2.8% chance 17 combinations, 1.7% chance 11 combinations, 1.1% chance 8 combinations, 0.8% chance 7 combinations, 0.7% chance 6 combinations, 0.6% chance 5 combinations, 0.5% chance
Best of luck to all teams and here we go....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:54:57 GMT -5
Pick 14 goes to:
- San Francisco Giants
Note: With only a 0.5% chance of going anywhere this is no surprise and I don't think a team ranked 10-14 ever moved.....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:56:20 GMT -5
Pick 13 goes to:
- Seattle Mariners
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:56:50 GMT -5
Pick 12 goes to:
- Colorado Rockies
Note: No changes so far.....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:57:14 GMT -5
Pick 11 goes to:
- San Diego Padres
Note: Again, no changes to the board....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 11:58:18 GMT -5
Pick 10 goes to:
- Carolina Warhounds
Note: Staying the course so far to the surprise of nobody.
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:00:11 GMT -5
Pick 9 goes to:
- Houston Astros
Note: With only a 1.7% chance of the top pick, Houston surely was looking for a shakeup at the top where they could of snuck up a few spots but that didn't happen.....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:01:28 GMT -5
Pick 8 goes to:
- Chicago Cubs
Note: Nothing has changed so far half way through the Lottery. Could this be the most straight forward draft lottery yet?
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:03:40 GMT -5
Pick 7 goes to:
- Texas Rangers
Note: With a 7.6% chance of the top overall pick, and acquired from the Marlins with the hoping of moving up, the Rangers see themselves falling back one spot. Bad news for Texas, BIG news for Cleveland who sees themselves the first team to move up.
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:05:25 GMT -5
Pick 6 goes to:
- Milwaukee Brewers
Note: Someday the Brew Crew will get lucky and move up in the draft and find that franchise player but 2023 is not the year we will see that. Dropping one back from projected slot means Cleveland is rising quickly......
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:06:50 GMT -5
Pick 5 goes to:
- Montreal Expos
Note: The rise of the Indians continue now at the expense of the Expos who see themselves falling back one spot from their projected position of fourth....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:08:50 GMT -5
Pick 4 goes to:
- Washington Nationals
Note: With the second highest odds (19.9%) of the top overall pick, the Nationals suffer the biggest slide in the draft as they fall down two spots in the draft.
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:10:01 GMT -5
Three picks remaining for the top overall selection:
Los Angeles still holds the highest odds at 25%, followed by Arizona with 13.8% and the meteoric rise of the Indians who have a 3.6% chance at the top overall pick......
Who will it be?
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:26:36 GMT -5
Pick 3 goes to:
- Arizona Diamondbacks
Note: Tough draw for the D-Backs here but the story remains the Indians even with a 3.6% chance still have a chance....
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Post by Derek _ Red Sox on Apr 13, 2013 12:27:56 GMT -5
Pick 2 goes to:
- Cleveland Indians
Note: Moving up from the 7th spot, the Indians finally stop moving up and land the second overall pick and the chance to get a franchise changing player. Huge day in Cleveland...
This also means....
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